Posts Tagged ‘Paul Krugman’

Krugman vs. Greenspan

Friday, June 18th, 2010

If you thought last night’s down-to-the-wire Celtics-Lakers battle was exciting, we’ve got a grudge match for you: Krugman versus Greenspan.

In this morning’s New York Times columnist Paul Krugman argues lawmakers — in Europe, and in the U.S. — should ignore “deficit hawks.” He calls for more spending and says plans to cut spending remind him of “1937, when F.D.R.’s premature attempt to balance the budget helped plunge a recovering economy back into severe recession.”

Over at The Wall Street Journal former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan, in a timely and direct answer to Krugman’s analysis says, “I believe the fears of budget contraction inducing a renewed decline of economic activity are misplaced.” Greenspan says the U.S. is much closer to Greece than anyone wants to acknowledge.

Greenspan acknowledges common effects of high budget deficits — inflation and long-term interest rates — are low despite buckets of red ink, but warns the U.S. not to grow complacent just because these indicators are low. Greenspan says Americans should be concerned because the “budget constraints of the past are missing.”

Greenspan is — at the very least — right on that account. Federal spending per household has ballooned from around $20,000 in the 1990s to around $30,000 today.  That’s a 50 percent increase in just a decade.

If the type of spending Krugman advocates worked shouldn’t the U.S. economy be sailing along?

Who do you think is right? Krugman or Greenspan?

The Odd Couple: 5 unfortunate similarities between Bush and Obama

Tuesday, February 16th, 2010

At first glance former President Bush and President Obama seem like opposites when it comes to economic policy making.  Talk of Bush as a free-marketeer and deregulator abounds as Obama’s reputation as a big spender and intervener grow stronger by the day.  A closer look shows their economic policies have more in common than meets the eye.

5. They love to spend. Bush passed a $3 trillion budget for 2009.  Obama posted a $3.5 trillion budget in 2010.  Bush doubled the debt to almost $6 trillion and Obama’s plans would leave us with an IOU of an additional $8.5 trillion by 2020.

4. They shop at the same stores. Contrary to popular belief, defense and homeland security spending only made up about 40 percent of Bush’s new spending.  He increased spending across most non-defense categories – like education, Medicare, Medicaid, income security and regional development – by four to six times the rate of inflation.  In Obama’s first half year in office, as he demanded a departure from the “investment deficit” years under Bush, these budgets rose another 70 percent or 40 times the rate of inflation.

3. They dabble with stimulants. In 2001 and 2008, Bush spent billions on rebates to stimulate consumer spending.  In 2009, Obama upped the ante with his $862 billion stimulus package.

2. They give sweetheart deals to failing corporations. Obama carried out Bush’s unpopular $700 billion bailout for failing corporations.  Together, the presidents have bailed out over 600 businesses since Spring 2008.

1. They enjoy regulating in their free time. Once again contrary to popular belief, President Bush was the biggest regulator since Richard Nixon.  Under his leadership in 2007, the number of pages of regulation added to the Federal Register reached an all-time high of 78,090  – a 21 percent increase from Bush’s first year.  And spending on regulatory activities rose to $42 billion in 2009 – a 62 percent increase.  Since taking office, Obama has proposed a large and sweeping increase in regulation that many worry could lead to another financial crisis in the future.

Despite rhetoric that suggests the contrary, President Obama’s economic policies are strikingly more of the same failed policies that Bush tried before him.  This is unfortunate because, as New York Times columnist Paul Krugman claims, the last decade has seen declining private-sector employment and declining median household income.